pierre 0
beckham 20
quentin 25
konerko 30
jones 25
rios 20
aram 20
teahan 15
aj 13
168 homeruns isnt too shabby and those are realistic numbers.
plus bench
omar a few
nix will be good for 8
kotsay will hit 5 or so
not bad for a so called no power team
Those aren't "realistic" figures, they are the top-end of "realistic" ranges.
Konerko hasn't hit 30 HR's in four seasons;
AJ, while his HR production has been constant for some time, is an aging catcher with a lollipop swing;
Alexei hit 21 HR's in 2008, then went on to hit only 15 in 100 more PA's the next season (HINT: that means banking on 20 from him isn't "realisic");
Predicting 25 from Andruw Jones is assuming he's getting the amount of PA's a full-time starter would, which was a murky-at-best sentiment going into the season with Ozzie swearing by his "DH by committee".
But ok. Let's say, for the sake of argument, that the White Sox do manage to hit 168 HR's for the entire season, as per your predictions. That would be good enough for average-at-best HR totals for each season since 2006. League average. That's bad news when the Sox play 81 games in the launching pad that is US Cellular Field.