NFL Tipping - Week 5 Tips

stephen said:

Reminder: If you use the Thursday thread, you do not need to pick the Thursday game in this thread.

Game of the week is in RED

Week 5

Thursday, 4th October

Away....................Home

Arizona Cardinals (4-0) @ St. Louis Rams (2-2)



Sunday, 7th October

12:00 PM

Away....................Home

Philadelphia Eagles (3-1) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2) Pittsburgh

Green Bay Packers (2-2) @ Indianapolis Colts (1-2) Packers

** Cleveland Browns (0-4) @ New York Giants (2-2) ** Giants

Atlanta Falcons (4-0) @ Washington Redskins (2-2) Redskins

Miami Dolphins (1-3) @ Cincinnati Bengals (3-1) Bengals

Baltimore Ravens (3-1) @ Kansas City Chiefs (1-3) Ravens



3:05 PM

Away....................Home

Seattle Seahawks (2-2) @ Carolina Panthers (1-3) Panthers

Chicago Bears (2-1) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (1-3). Bears


3:25 PM

Away....................Home

Denver Broncos (2-2) @ New England Patriots (2-2) Pats

Buffalo Bills (2-2) @ San Francisco 49ers (3-1). 49ers

Tennessee Titans (1-3) @ Minnesota Vikings (3-1) Titans

7:20 PM

Away....................Home

San Diego Chargers (3-1) @ New Orleans Saints (0-4) Saints



Monday, 8th October

7:30 PM

Away...................Home

Houston Texans (4-0) @ New York Jets (2-2)​

Texans


TEAMS ON A BYE-WEEK:
Dallas Cowboys
Detroit Lions
Oakland Raiders
Tampa Bay Buccaneers


COMING OFF THE BYE:

I like to research how teams come off a bye. Some teams habitually lose, others win. These are NOT guarantees, in fact, you don't even have to read these I am just researching it, so am sharing what I find.

I look at the last 10 years of a team coming off a bye. See if there is a pattern. See how a team responds to a bye week. Probably useless, but I like to do it.

Indianapolis Colts:

8-2 Coming off bye in last 10 years. LWWWWWWLWW

Streak - 1L

Notes: This means nothing. No Peyton Manning. New coaches. How will they respond?

Pittsburgh Steelers

7-3 Coming off bye in last 10 years. WWWWLLWWLW

Streak - 4W

Notes: Steelers have won last 4, but they were all against BAD teams. 13-9 over '11 Chiefs, 28-10 over '10 Browns, 28-10 over '09 Broncos and 38-10 over '08 Bengals. Although, most were won convincingly. This time around? 3-1 Eagles at home.


The Cut-off time for the Sunday games is 12:00 PM CT or 1:00 PM ET. Good luck in week 5!

Score for those who want to join this week - 22. Picks if you do not get your picks in this week (based off vegas lines in brackets):

Rams (2), Eagles (2 1/2), Colts (7 1/2), Browns (13), Redskins (3), Dolphins (4), Chiefs (7), Seahawks (2) , Jaguars (3), Broncos (7 1/2), Bills (8), Titans (5 1/2), Chargers (3 1/2), Jets (4 1/2)

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Emanbears23 said:

If it's not too late, change my Falcons pick to the Redskins. If it is too late, no worries.

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stephen said:

Wasn't too late.

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Emanbears23 said:

Wish it was lol. I changed because of the rain, but it didn't help as much as I'd hoped. And RGIII getting hurt didn't exactly do me any favors either haha

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Eric54 said:

Me and two other people picked the Colts.

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stephen said:

Yeah, that sucked with RGIII going down. They fell apart after that happened. Was looking really good til that point. Cousins even put them in the lead, then total collapse. I am more pissed about the Colts winning. Happy they won, but I feel dumb because I was going to pick them and right before I clicked post I changed it. Noooooooooo.

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