KBisBack!
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So many people have bought into the PR campaign that throwing away a couple seasons will magically lead to the Cubs being contenders year in and year out for an extended period of time that I decided to break down some numbers on really how difficult that is to accomplish.
I looked at the last 20 years.
Obviously the Yankees dominated the numbers. So much for the farm system is the only way to develop long term success myth.
The Yankees were the only team to win the World Series more than twice in the last 20 years, winning six. The Marlins, Cardinals, Giants and Red Sox were the only teams to win even two. Six teams won once.
There were only three teams that made the playoffs in at least half of the last 20 years. Yankees 17 times, Braves 14 times and Cardinals 10 times. Only 2 more teams made the playoffs in at least 1/3 of the seasons which was 7 or more times, Boston and Cleveland.
Only 2 teams made the playoffs in 10+ straight seasons, the Yankees at 13 and the Braves with 11. Only two more teams had a streak of even 5 straight seasons, Cleveland and Philadelphia.
Only 3 teams won at least 90 games in half the seasons, Yankees 15 times, Braves 13 times and Red Sox 10 times. There were only 4 teams that won 90 or more games 1/3 of the time (7 or more), the Giants with 9 and Cleveland, Oakland and St Louis with 7.
So less than a quarter of teams in the league were contenders in at least a third of the last twenty seasons.
I used 90 games since so many of the experts here have repeatedly stating that winning 85 games is a waste of time, so I wouldn't want to included such wasted seasons as part of being contenders.
The longest streak of 90+ wins was of course the Yankees with 7. Atlanta had a streak of 6, while Oakland and San Francisco had streaks of 5 and Seattle and Philadelphia had streaks of 4. No other teams had at least 4 straight 90 win seasons. So only 20% of the teams in baseball had a streak of at least 4 years in a row winning 90+ games.
But somehow the Cubs will be able to just throw away a couple seasons and build an almost unprecedented winning machine because Theo is at the helm??
Really?? I am so glad we are being reasonable and realistic here.
Everyone's flavor of the month as the blueprint to team building a couple years ago was the Tampa Rays. They had to throw away NINE straight seasons to get their little moment in the sun and now they are fading back to the basement because they simply cant replace the players as fast as they are losing them.
Let the Theo apologist's go wild now on how distorted my facts are because they choose to ignore the message because of the messenger.
I looked at the last 20 years.
Obviously the Yankees dominated the numbers. So much for the farm system is the only way to develop long term success myth.
The Yankees were the only team to win the World Series more than twice in the last 20 years, winning six. The Marlins, Cardinals, Giants and Red Sox were the only teams to win even two. Six teams won once.
There were only three teams that made the playoffs in at least half of the last 20 years. Yankees 17 times, Braves 14 times and Cardinals 10 times. Only 2 more teams made the playoffs in at least 1/3 of the seasons which was 7 or more times, Boston and Cleveland.
Only 2 teams made the playoffs in 10+ straight seasons, the Yankees at 13 and the Braves with 11. Only two more teams had a streak of even 5 straight seasons, Cleveland and Philadelphia.
Only 3 teams won at least 90 games in half the seasons, Yankees 15 times, Braves 13 times and Red Sox 10 times. There were only 4 teams that won 90 or more games 1/3 of the time (7 or more), the Giants with 9 and Cleveland, Oakland and St Louis with 7.
So less than a quarter of teams in the league were contenders in at least a third of the last twenty seasons.
I used 90 games since so many of the experts here have repeatedly stating that winning 85 games is a waste of time, so I wouldn't want to included such wasted seasons as part of being contenders.
The longest streak of 90+ wins was of course the Yankees with 7. Atlanta had a streak of 6, while Oakland and San Francisco had streaks of 5 and Seattle and Philadelphia had streaks of 4. No other teams had at least 4 straight 90 win seasons. So only 20% of the teams in baseball had a streak of at least 4 years in a row winning 90+ games.
But somehow the Cubs will be able to just throw away a couple seasons and build an almost unprecedented winning machine because Theo is at the helm??
Really?? I am so glad we are being reasonable and realistic here.
Everyone's flavor of the month as the blueprint to team building a couple years ago was the Tampa Rays. They had to throw away NINE straight seasons to get their little moment in the sun and now they are fading back to the basement because they simply cant replace the players as fast as they are losing them.
Let the Theo apologist's go wild now on how distorted my facts are because they choose to ignore the message because of the messenger.
