S - Calvin Pryor - nice read and videos

Run the ball

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Written by Sigmund Bloom

In almost every mock draft you see these days, Louisville safety Calvin Pryor resides in the first round. If you watch just a game or two of his tape, it’s easy to see why a team would want to add this literal “impact” player. Watch him for a few games more and a larger pattern emerges: Pryor adds some elements to the defense that burn brightly, but the target on his back will glow if he is left exposed. Pryor is the classic draft prospect who will be a success if set up correctly, and a failure if he doesn’t have the supporting cast to allow him to play a role specifically suited for his strengths and weaknesses. Is that worth a first round pick?

Positives

Closing Speed - Pryor is that blur that comes in from offscreen to destroy a ballcarrier. He can also cover a lot of ground to intercept or break up a pass once he gets a bead on it. He ran a 4.58 at the Combine, but Pryor is much faster than the when he has missile lock-on engaged.

[video=youtube;ega6EeeNl64]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=ega6EeeNl64[/video]
 

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Big Hitter, The Lama - Pryor generates a lot of force and unleashes it on his target. He can cause fumbles and separate the ball from the receiver at the moment of arrival. His hits set the tone for his defense, and he can fire up the home crowd. Pryor seems to load up some of his biggest hits early in the first series to send a message to the opponent.

[video=youtube;bWV59siKt-U]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=bWV59siKt-U[/video]
 

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Intimidation - Combine that hitting and closing speed, and you have a player who makes receivers look over their shoulder and get alligator arms when they are going over the middle. Again, this will greatly appeal to a team that sees Kam Chancellor and says, “we want to add that attitude to our defense”.

Run Defense - In addition to being able to streak into the action to have an effect on a run play despite being a long distance from the line of scrimmage at the snap, Pryor does a lot of things that make him function more like an extra linebacker against the run. He will fight through blocks to make tackles, give up his body to set the edge or gum up a run, and he also shoots gaps very well.

Ball Thief - Pryor has some of the best natural hands and ball skills of any defensive back in this class, including corners. He can time leaps and control his body in the air like a wide receiver. He is also aggressive after the interception and can make big returns.

[video=youtube;h6FlQ1MYk6w]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h6FlQ1MYk6w&feature=player_embedded[/video]
 

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Negatives

After running down those positives, Pryor seems like a shoo-in first rounder. What’s not to like?

Single-Mindedness/Straight Lines - Pryor is a single-minded player on the field - as long as he has a target. See target, destroy target. Without a target, Pryor is tentative and he tends to float or meander in deep coverage instead of get meaningful instructions from what he is observing on the field. Pryor plays in straight lines. He does not adjust well when the play asks him to move backwards or laterally or otherwise adjust on the fly.

This to me is the key to unlocking Pryor’s downside. Once you “get” this about his game, all of his flaws manifest themselves as iterations of this larger issue with his style of play. One excellent example of Pryor’s blinders limiting him is the way he can get blown up by blockers. He is so focused on the ball carrier that he doesn’t process blockers in his peripheral vision:

[video=youtube;h6FlQ1MYk6w]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h6FlQ1MYk6w&feature=player_embedded[/video]
 

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Manipulation - Pryor can be manipulated way too easily for a player who is a last line of defense. He gets caught peeking in the backfield. He bites on fakes. He predictably follows the receiver dispatched through his zone to get him out of position.

Lack of Anticipation/Awareness - In deep zone coverage, Pryor rarely anticipates throws. He does not read or diagnose plays as much as he waits for something to react to. You will see way too many completions given up in front of him to label Pryor as a player who is an effective centerfielder.

Overaggressiveness - Pryor’s closing speed is a double-edged sword. He overruns plays and can take himself out of a play because he is too eager. His reactions to targets changing direction in the open field range from mostly ineffective to non-existent. It isn’t a lack of physical ability, again, I believe it is his nature as a single-minded player with an accelerator, but little in the way of steering.

[video=youtube;ega6EeeNl64]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=ega6EeeNl64[/video]
 

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Lack of Discipline - This shows up in a lot of places on Pryor’s tape, but none more glaring than when he goes in for the tackle. Big hits are nice, but Pryor often leaves his feet, and just as often, he fails to wrap up. This leads to missed tackles and personal fouls. Again, as a last line of defense, this is very troubling flaw.

[video=youtube;0oC5QVHAhhM]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=0oC5QVHAhhM[/video]
 

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The Verdict

Almost every one of Pryor’s positives are counterbalanced by the way those qualities become negatives when he is asked to do more than seek and destroy, and sometimes even when he is asked to do that. He can be an aggressive blitzer, but simple moves will likely elude the pressure he creates. He can blow up screens, but he can also be rendered harmless by a patient receiver:

[video=youtube;h6FlQ1MYk6w]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=h6FlQ1MYk6w[/video]
 

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Pryor will create big plays and he will give up big plays. The answer to maximizing one and minimizing the other is carving out a role for him that puts him close to the line of scrimmage. Let him drop into short zone coverage, where he can feel free to bite on everything that enters his area without fear of it being misdirection away from his more important responsibilities. He can blow up receivers on short crossing routes and otherwise make players think twice about their safety on the short gimme routes that forces the defense to concede gains that put the offense in excellent down/distance situations. I wouldn’t want Pryor on an island against a good receiving tight end in man coverage. The athleticism is there, but it seems like he would be easy to separate from with any sort of effective break in a route. Pryor has also exhibited a tendency to get grabby in one-on-one situations downfield:

[video=youtube;ega6EeeNl64]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ega6EeeNl64&feature=player_embedded[/video]

As a safety responsible for defending downfield passing plays, Pryor is going to be a liability. A good quarterback will have no trouble moving him out of the way with his eyes or a good pump fake. A good offensive coordinator will easily be able to identify plays that will encourage Pryor to take himself out of the danger zone by his following his own simplistic instincts.

The bottom line is that Pryor is only going to be a success with an Earl Thomas or Ed Reed type of safety, or perhaps a dominant front seven like San Francisco’s. They don’t have to be as singular as Reed or Thomas in that role, but it hems in a defense in terms of personnel choices. Does that sound like a first-round pick? Shouldn't first-round picks create more roster flexibility, not less?

In addition to Chancellor, names that should be coming into your head right now are Dashon Goldson, DJ Swearinger, and Bernard Pollard (As a side note, Pryor lacks Troy Polamalu and Bob Sanders instincts to sniff out plays before they happen, so the closing speed/hitting is where the comparison ends).This brings up another troubling point in Pryor’s profile. The NFL is moving in a direction to try to iron out the “headhunting” part of safety play that is essential to Pryor’s value. Pryor is going to rack up penalties, fines, and suspensions. Hopefully, like the others, he won’t allow that change his identity, but it is still something that needs to be mentioned. Should a team spend a first-round pick on a type of player that is becoming an endangered species in the NFL?

With the right fit, Pryor can flourish. New England, Cincinnati, Denver, San Diego, and Minnesota could all make him work, and there are others. He will not be a panacea for a team struggling with the safety position like Green Bay, or a good partner for Polamalu in Pittsburgh (they already have a smaller version of Pryor in 2013 fourth-round pick Shamarko Thomas). In the deepest draft class in recent memory, chances are that a team can do better with their first-round pick than Pryor.
 

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Brandon Merriweather
Didn't watch all the videos full thru, but saw this a lot:
"Pryor often leaves his feet, and just as often, he fails to wrap up. "

Merriwether, as stated above, may be a good comparison or big hitter, misses tackles, out of position, lacks instincts, takes bad angles sounds like a guy with Major issues.
 

Monsieur Tirets

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I like Pryor. I wish he was a little bigger, but if Donald is off the board I wouldn't mind Pryor in the first and Quarles or Easley in the second. But I'm not sure they're going to last until the second. In fact it wouldn't surprise me if Emery drafts one of them in them first lol.
 

paytonisgod

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I think this article is pretty spot on. As a U of L fan I saw pretty much every game of his. As much as it pains me to say it I wouldn't get him in the first round. I just don't think he is all that special a player. I would be a little angry at Emery if he decides to take him with the 14th pick. A good DT would have a much greater impact on the defense than Pryor.
 

Smokey Robinson

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Thanks for the post. I personally like Pryor a lot and feel he should be under consideration if Donald is gone. What i notice when watching him is his closing speed. This is not your typical in the box safety. He gets where ever he is going in a hurry and when he arrives the ball carrier sure knows it. The only thing that scares me with Pryor is becoming like Merriweather, sometimes I watch his hits and cringe.
 

Raskolnikov

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Negatives

After running down those positives, Pryor seems like a shoo-in first rounder. What’s not to like?

Single-Mindedness/Straight Lines - Pryor is a single-minded player on the field - as long as he has a target. See target, destroy target. Without a target, Pryor is tentative and he tends to float or meander in deep coverage instead of get meaningful instructions from what he is observing on the field. Pryor plays in straight lines. He does not adjust well when the play asks him to move backwards or laterally or otherwise adjust on the fly.

This to me is the key to unlocking Pryor’s downside. Once you “get” this about his game, all of his flaws manifest themselves as iterations of this larger issue with his style of play. One excellent example of Pryor’s blinders limiting him is the way he can get blown up by blockers. He is so focused on the ball carrier that he doesn’t process blockers in his peripheral vision:

[video=youtube;h6FlQ1MYk6w]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h6FlQ1MYk6w&feature=player_embedded[/video]

interesting take on a player I really like.

That is a deep wound of a negative actually, it insinuates a lack of instincts and intelligence. So the question with him would be "CAN HE BE COACHED?"

If you can coach up his ability to read defenses, or if that comes with experience in the NFL, then you want the missile that now has a tracking system.

If he is a mindless missile, he will hurt out own players as we have seen in the past.
 

rawdawg

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interesting take on a player I really like.

That is a deep wound of a negative actually, it insinuates a lack of instincts and intelligence. So the question with him would be "CAN HE BE COACHED?"

If you can coach up his ability to read defenses, or if that comes with experience in the NFL, then you want the missile that now has a tracking system.

If he is a mindless missile, he will hurt out own players as we have seen in the past.

I think he has good instincts. He seems to pick his spots to try to make the big hits. You can't make big hits unless you can diagnose and react quick enough or have exceptional closing speed. 4.58 40 doesn't say exceptional closing speed to me (though it does look fast on tape). So, yes I think he is coachable. Definitely would need a good front 7, but moreso a very good FS behind him. You need a guy that can play off of him and allow him to roam. That's why Ryan Clark has worked out well with Polamalu.
 

JaySix

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I think he has good instincts. He seems to pick his spots to try to make the big hits. You can't make big hits unless you can diagnose and react quick enough or have exceptional closing speed. 4.58 40 doesn't say exceptional closing speed to me (though it does look fast on tape). So, yes I think he is coachable. Definitely would need a good front 7, but moreso a very good FS behind him. You need a guy that can play off of him and allow him to roam. That's why Ryan Clark has worked out well with Polamalu.
But I see a lot of people calling him a FS... Is he a strong or a free?
 

rawdawg

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Definitely a SS. Could play free, but I see him as a guy within 15 yards if the LOS most of the time.
 

Monsieur Tirets

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He's a ball hawk and a play maker that hits hard, but he seriously needs to learn to wrap up. It's like some of these guys have never been coached.
 

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Man, I Love this kid. Almost wish we could somehow get Donald and Pryor in the draft. I think Pryor is like a fast Mike Brown. After 1 or 2 years, Brown's instinct took over like this kid's will, imo. He can cover and play deep, but he will blow the run up so I see him in the box a lot.

He fits the Bears plan at stopping the run. Both our DE's we signed are both stout against the run. Emery is going to fix this, especially with Lacy up north. My biggest concern with Pryor is will he get injured with his physical style. He is definitely an intimidator at SS, however. I think he'd be a fan favorite in no time.

Check out this youtube. It shows exactly the kind of physicality he would bring to the defense:

[video=youtube;b3y2XwXujkk]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b3y2XwXujkk[/video]
 

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