IST: Cubs vs. Braves

SilenceS

SilenceS

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Lester vs. Blair. Atlanta has real tough time scoring runs. Bryant is having an MRI as a precaution. Lets hope nothing is wrong. I would think Baez would get a start today. But, I never know what Joe is thinking.
 

brett05

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Looks like another sweep for the Cubs
 
SilenceS

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dan haren ‏@ithrow88 16h16 hours ago
@JArrieta34 saw you gave up a run, hang in there. Thinking of you.

Haha. I just read some of his twitter. He is a pretty funny guy. He just seems bored with his life right now. lol
 
zack54attack

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My favorite teams
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  1. Chicago Fire
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The Braves can't hit HR's. So naturally, they are going to hit like 15 this series.
 

DJMoore_is_fat

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Our early schedule is cake. Need to take advantage of games against crappy teams. Just keep stacking those W's.
 
DanTown

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brett05 said:
You still gotta play the games, but depending on how it goes you should be very disappointed if they lose games to Atlanta.
Click to expand...

538 says the Cubs are 74% likely to win today with Lester on the mound. Let's say they're 65% to win with Lackey/Hammel on the mound.

Still would give the Cubs only a 32% chance of sweeping.
 
SilenceS

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brett05 said:
You still gotta play the games, but depending on how it goes you should be very disappointed if they lose games to Atlanta.
Click to expand...

Phillies just swept the Nationals in their park. The Marlins just swept the Dodgers in a 4 game series in Dodger park. Its baseball. I assume we will win the series, but it doesn't always work out.
 
SilenceS

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Bryant MRI revealed a mild sprain. He will be rested for a couple of day. Baez will start at third today.

ChN-MIPVEAY5MEx.jpg
 

brett05

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DanTown said:
538% says the Cubs are 74% likely to win today with Lester on the mound. Let's say they're 65% to win with Lackey/Hammel on the mound.

Still would give the Cubs only a 32% chance of sweeping.
Click to expand...

It doesn't work that way but I get what you are saying
 

brett05

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SilenceS said:
Phillies just swept the Nationals in their park. The Marlins just swept the Dodgers in a 4 game series in Dodger park. Its baseball. I assume we will win the series, but it doesn't always work out.
Click to expand...

Completely agree.
 

brett05

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DanTown said:
Probability doesn't work that way? lol. ok.
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That's not what I said.

Let me clarify for you. The sites can give any percentages they wish. It does not make those percentages correct. Way, way too many variables for us ever to calculate true odds.
 

brett05

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DanTown, however, if odds could be calculated, yes it would be 32% in your example.
 

fatbeard

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SilenceS said:
Bryant MRI revealed a mild sprain. He will be rested for a couple of day. Baez will start at third today.

ChN-MIPVEAY5MEx.jpg
Click to expand...

Good thing the Cubs won't have Dr. Loopyswing's bat in the lineup today.
 
SilenceS

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Cubs should have a big advantage today. Lester on the hill and Atlanta didn't get in until 3 A.M> after a night game.
 
DanTown

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brett05 said:
DanTown, however, if odds could be calculated, yes it would be 32% in your example.
Click to expand...

If you want to dismiss one game probabilities, your original statement

You still gotta play the games, but depending on how it goes you should be very disappointed if they lose games to Atlanta.
Click to expand...

is still not something that teams do. NO ONE judges a baseball team on a single game. Anything can happen in the game of baseball on a single day; you judge a team based on a much larger sample than that.

My point about the probability is that winning ALL your games against one opponent, no matter how bad, is hard. Even if you want to say the Cubs should win 80% of their games against the Braves, they'd still only win three in a row 51% of the time.

This isn't basketball.
 
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