Toast88
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Count me among the people who think the Bears have no real shot at making the playoffs, but I do love a good breakdown.
When discussing the Bears' slim playoff chances this week, it's often started with the Bears winning out. Makes sense, that would be the easiest way for them to get in and would really only require the Vikings to lose one of their three games before Week 17, which actually seems likely. What doesn't seem likely is the Bears going 4-0 the last four games.
But believe it or not, the Bears will still be alive in the playoff hunt if they lose tonight, or if they *only* go 3-1 down the stretch.
Let's go through what has to happen for the Bears to make the playoffs with a 9-7 record:
-Bears have to win 3 of their last 4, including the finale against the Vikings.
-The Vikings have to lose 2 of the following 3 games heading into the finale: vs. Lions; @ Chargers; vs. Packers
-The Rams have to lose 3 of their last 4 games: vs. Seahawks; @ Cowboys; @ 49ers; vs. Cardinals
or
-Bears win 3 of their last 4, but lose to the Vikings in the finale, but it doesn't matter because the Vikings already lost 2 of the 3 games going into the finale and the Rams lost 3 of 4.
Now let's get crazy. Here's what has to happen for the Bears to make the playoffs with an 8-8 record:
-Bears win 2 of their last 4, including the finale in Minnesota.
-Vikings lose their last 4 games.
-Rams lose their last 4 games, or 3 of their last 4, if the one they win is the finale against Arizona. (This would create a 3-way-tie for the last slot, which the Bears would win the tiebreaker for.)
When discussing the Bears' slim playoff chances this week, it's often started with the Bears winning out. Makes sense, that would be the easiest way for them to get in and would really only require the Vikings to lose one of their three games before Week 17, which actually seems likely. What doesn't seem likely is the Bears going 4-0 the last four games.
But believe it or not, the Bears will still be alive in the playoff hunt if they lose tonight, or if they *only* go 3-1 down the stretch.
Let's go through what has to happen for the Bears to make the playoffs with a 9-7 record:
-Bears have to win 3 of their last 4, including the finale against the Vikings.
-The Vikings have to lose 2 of the following 3 games heading into the finale: vs. Lions; @ Chargers; vs. Packers
-The Rams have to lose 3 of their last 4 games: vs. Seahawks; @ Cowboys; @ 49ers; vs. Cardinals
or
-Bears win 3 of their last 4, but lose to the Vikings in the finale, but it doesn't matter because the Vikings already lost 2 of the 3 games going into the finale and the Rams lost 3 of 4.
Now let's get crazy. Here's what has to happen for the Bears to make the playoffs with an 8-8 record:
-Bears win 2 of their last 4, including the finale in Minnesota.
-Vikings lose their last 4 games.
-Rams lose their last 4 games, or 3 of their last 4, if the one they win is the finale against Arizona. (This would create a 3-way-tie for the last slot, which the Bears would win the tiebreaker for.)
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