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4 weeks of NFL in the books boyos. Traditionally I don't do too much betting prior to week 5 or 6 as I don't think it's smart to do prior to having a decent chunk of in season data to go off of. Sports betting is obviously always gambling, but early in the season your gambling is bound to be far less educated. I plan on doing these each week going forward, and I will not be giving advice on the Thursday night games as I personally find outcomes to be far less predictable for these games, probably due to the short week and less game planning.
That said, the time is upon us.
? Bigly Bets Of The Week
CHI -5 ... If you can get this line at or below -125 you're taking that in a heartbeat. Bears D is fierce, Oakland is soft, Mack revenge game, and Oakland is terrible in London games. Last year they lost to Seattle 27-3... They might only score 3 points again, meaning you'll only need to bank on the Bears putting 10+ on the board. Their D might do that for them too. Load up on this one.
Minnesota @ NYG - Total 43.5 (UNDER) ... This is another no brainier bet. Giants have no Saquon against a pretty fierce Vikings defense, and the Vikings offense has been non existent for everyone not named Cook. The wild card here is the premier of Golden Tate for the Giants, but Danny Dimes is still a rookie that is fully capable of being rattled by a D like the Vikings. Both teams are going to run the ball a bunch. Vegas has the line at -5 Vikes, so that's an expected outcome score of 24 to 19... I can't see the lethargic Vikings offense scoring 24, nor the Giants scoring 19 in this matchup. Easy under play.
Bonus Bets - Play at your own risk!
LAC -6.5 ... They play at home vs Denver. Gordon is back. Denver might as well start the full on tank run, they look worse each passing week. Chargers should easily win by a TD.
TB @ NO - Total 45.5 (OVER) ... TB can shut down the run, sure, but they won't be able to stop Kamara from catching passes out the backfield. Thomas will eat too. Saints secondary can be had, and the bucs are coming off a 55 point win. They could have shattered this line by themselves last week. Pretty good chance this game is a shootout.
Indy +450 ... Yes, this moneyline is a cheeky play vs the Chiefs, I get that... but do we think the Chiefs are going undefeated this season? Playing big lines like this can be worth the risk in the long run... The site I use has this line at +446 currently but I'd take anywhere north of +425.. keep this bet smaller but there's potential payout here.
Happy betting, and good luck everyone! If you know someone with a gambling addiction, hand them a cigarette.
That said, the time is upon us.
? Bigly Bets Of The Week
CHI -5 ... If you can get this line at or below -125 you're taking that in a heartbeat. Bears D is fierce, Oakland is soft, Mack revenge game, and Oakland is terrible in London games. Last year they lost to Seattle 27-3... They might only score 3 points again, meaning you'll only need to bank on the Bears putting 10+ on the board. Their D might do that for them too. Load up on this one.
Minnesota @ NYG - Total 43.5 (UNDER) ... This is another no brainier bet. Giants have no Saquon against a pretty fierce Vikings defense, and the Vikings offense has been non existent for everyone not named Cook. The wild card here is the premier of Golden Tate for the Giants, but Danny Dimes is still a rookie that is fully capable of being rattled by a D like the Vikings. Both teams are going to run the ball a bunch. Vegas has the line at -5 Vikes, so that's an expected outcome score of 24 to 19... I can't see the lethargic Vikings offense scoring 24, nor the Giants scoring 19 in this matchup. Easy under play.
Bonus Bets - Play at your own risk!
LAC -6.5 ... They play at home vs Denver. Gordon is back. Denver might as well start the full on tank run, they look worse each passing week. Chargers should easily win by a TD.
TB @ NO - Total 45.5 (OVER) ... TB can shut down the run, sure, but they won't be able to stop Kamara from catching passes out the backfield. Thomas will eat too. Saints secondary can be had, and the bucs are coming off a 55 point win. They could have shattered this line by themselves last week. Pretty good chance this game is a shootout.
Indy +450 ... Yes, this moneyline is a cheeky play vs the Chiefs, I get that... but do we think the Chiefs are going undefeated this season? Playing big lines like this can be worth the risk in the long run... The site I use has this line at +446 currently but I'd take anywhere north of +425.. keep this bet smaller but there's potential payout here.
Happy betting, and good luck everyone! If you know someone with a gambling addiction, hand them a cigarette.