Recent content by beckdawg

  1. Cubs offseason needs/ Talk

    I mean happ is a good starter on a playoff team but frankly he's not something irreplaceable. He's a LFer at this point and I don't really see any realistic scenario where he's better than he was last year going forward. So in terms of transformational value to the cubs today he's kinda meh. If...
  2. Could Aaron Judge be in play for Cubs in offseason?

    Judge hard hit rate really isn't up noticably vs his career average. His career soft/med/hard is 9.9%/42.4%/47.8%. This year he's at 7.3%/44.8%/47.9%. Statistically speaking he's just been more lucky with his HR/FB rate at 35.7% vs 32.3% for his career. As for the original question, I don't wan...
  3. Dynasty Gone

    People can want to believe the 2016 team should have been a dynasty but it frankly always had flaws. The 2016 team had a historically great defense which lead to amazing years from Lester, Hendricks and Arrieta. When the team came back to earth a bit so did the results. I wouldn't even say the...
  4. Cubs Farm System And Prospects Discussion Thread

    Canario has got some pretty crazy power. https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board?pos=all&level=0&lg=2,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,14,12,13,15,16,17,18,30,32,33&stats=bat&qual=350&type=1&team=&season=2022&seasonEnd=2022&org=all&ind=0&splitTeam=false&players=&sort=12,1 That link if you sort by iso...
  5. Man the baseball gods weren't nice to kenny lofton

    So i was watching a youtube video on kenny lofton and i didn't realize how unlucky he was. He ran into the strength of the braves pitching in the world series. After he was traded to atlanta he ran into one of the worst ump performances in MLB history when Livan Hernandez ended up k'ing 15 guys...
  6. Cubs post trade deadline 2023 outlook

    I also feel like not having a proper spring training didn't help matters. Like he was coming off a long term injury so getting back to normal he could have likely used more game time
  7. Cubs Farm System And Prospects Discussion Thread

    This is honestly true for both hitting and pitching. You look at all their top tier guys and they have large k rates. Killian is at 10.5 k/9 throughout his minor league career(2.3 bb/9). Wicks is at 11.4(2.5 bb/9). Herz is at 13.6(5.4 bb/9). Hayden Wesneski is at 9.6/2.6. Ryan Jensen is at...
  8. Cubs Farm System And Prospects Discussion Thread

    I think PCA is still underrated. In my eyes he's as good as Cristian Pache was although he has more bat and slightly less defense. Like across all minor league levels Pache hit .280/.330/.406 and stole 68 out of 113 attempted with 34 homers in 2237 PAs. PCA is at .317/.388/.542 with 22 out of 31...
  9. Cubs post trade deadline 2023 outlook

    Cubs aren't gonna target a closer in the traditional sense. They are going to do what they do seemingly every year now which is cheaply piece together a decent bullpen. Like I could see them maybe bitting on kimbrel at a cheaper price given he's struggled a bit in a similar way they did with...
  10. Who could the Cubs trade before the upcoming deadline?

    See this is what confuses me a bit about his seemingly low value. Like... I think you could probably put him in either OF corner as well as DH and as you mention maybe 1B. C would seem like just extra value being able to have essentially a third C. I would have thought people may have been more...
  11. Who could the Cubs trade before the upcoming deadline?

    Happ I don't think had to be moved this deadline. Like I can understand your thought process that someone will almost always have more value in july vs october-december. But I think in his case there's far less pressure to move him. I also think there's benefit to not moving him with regard to...
  12. Who could the Cubs trade before the upcoming deadline?

    How do you know this isn't the most optimized return? Prior to this season Willy was a slightly above average hitter. It's clear that given the lack of interest in him that many teams aren't very fond of his defense. So, it's not like offers would have been better prior. Obviously this season...
  13. Who could the Cubs trade before the upcoming deadline?

    Not sure I agree. Compensatory picks last year started at 75 for similar situation to where the cubs will be. The 75th pick was worth $873,700 for the mets this year. Fangraphs had a roughly 40 grade on 75th and lower prospects. They had a 45 grade on Mark Vientos who the mets apparently were...
  14. Who could the Cubs trade before the upcoming deadline?

    Also... i think it's worth noting that if the trade offers weren't there for contreras what is his FA gonna look like? Like obviously there is some value to him but if teams weren't that all in on him at the deadline why would they suddenly be over the moon to pay him in FA? It's perhaps an...
  15. Who could the Cubs trade before the upcoming deadline?

    So i know the prevailing thought was cubs don't want contreras back but it's worth considering maybe they just were willing to move him at a right price but were also fine with extending him. Obviously some leverage is gone now for them but like... contreras seems like he wants to be with the...
Top