The Bears dont have a 2nd round pick to give up to get a 1st next year. The convo was about giving up a 3rd ie 75 for a 2nd next year.
That isnt particularly helpful if you need that 3rd round player now to help your team now because you are in a closing SB window or you are on the hot seat...
You are asauming rate of success is linear. For example the bust rate for DL in the 2nd is 26%. Bust rate in the 3rd is 27%. So if you were looking for a DL then there ia very little value in trading your 3rd this year for a 2nd next year because you are delaying getting a player for a year...
Players bust and it is more likely that lower drafted players bust at a higher rate so no not always.
For example the vast majority of starting QBs are first round picks so no it isnt better to trade down out of the first for example to acquire more draft capital and then draft a 2nd round QB.
Nope. There were 2 parts to your comment. Him being 6th in yards which is relevant and who his QB was which is irrelevant.
So again I was pointing out who his QB was is irrelevant. What is relevant is that he was 6th in yards.
Well I would say it depends. I think a team would look at a teams prospects. If I am trading with the Bears I would probably value their 2025 2nd as middle of 3rd as they look much improved. Now if it was the Panthers 2025 2nd then yeah I would value that as top of the 3rd as still expect...
42 is worth 480 points. 75 is worth 210 and if you discount 2025 2nd as being 3rd round pick top of the round then that us 265. So combined 475.
But more likely 2nd round pick next year is valued as middle of 3rd round this year so more like 200 so probably need to include our 4th this year...
I think the Bears are in a transition spot where trading down will not be advisable unless you willing to forgo a blue player as at 9 only 1 or 2 blue players will remain.
They will likely have several 2nd tier players available which makes trading down palatable again if you fine forgoing the...
Poles is the GM and there is no way he takes Velus if he didnt believe in him. If you delegate part of your responsibility you still 100% own the result.