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  1. Man the baseball gods weren't nice to kenny lofton

    So i was watching a youtube video on kenny lofton and i didn't realize how unlucky he was. He ran into the strength of the braves pitching in the world series. After he was traded to atlanta he ran into one of the worst ump performances in MLB history when Livan Hernandez ended up k'ing 15 guys...
  2. What the depth of the cubs farm system looks like in graph form

    I talk a lot about how deep the cubs are and if you don't really dig into the weeds its tough to grasp. Anyways I saw this graph yesterday and I think it sums up things pretty well. It's obviously simplistic and there's more to player development than just those two stats but sorta illustrates...
  3. mlb draft

    Cubs take Cade Horton at #7. Interesting pick because its likely an underslot signing but he's also one of the best if not the best college pitcher. Sets them up to do something interesting in round 2
  4. Trade deadline might be interesting this year

    Simply put the expectation many likely have is of the cubs selling as a .500 or worse team. There's certainly some pieces where that makes sense. But there's something i've noticed recently and that's the depth the cubs have coming in outfielders. With Suzuki being a long term lock, PCA and...
  5. fangraphs updated cubs prospects

    https://blogs.fangraphs.com/top-49-prospects-chicago-cubs-2/
  6. MLB draft

    Draft starts tomorrow. Placeholder post for that. Starts at 7 eastern tomorrow I should also mention it's just the first 36 picks. The draft continues monday
  7. I sorta feel like a hard salary cap would benefit the players and baseball as a whole

    New CBA is coming and this seems like as good a time as any to talk about this. Conventional wisdom would be players wanna make as much as they can and a cap limits that. However, I think that's being short sighted. The past few years what we've seen is teams just entirely punting seasons...
  8. Sticky substances and how it pertains to the cubs the past few years

    So something I was thinking about is I find it hard to believe that the cubs were greatly using this like other teams. I have always felt as though Theo was a very much "play the game the right way" type guy. And granted the cubs pitching has been markedly worse compared to other teams over that...
  9. Ozuna's situation in ATL could be interesting to the cubs

    So for those who are unaware, Ozuna was arrested and charged with Agg. Assault. Assuming he gets suspended which seems pretty likely at this point, the money he is owed comes off their books for the length of that suspension. Why that is potentially interesting as it pertains to the cubs is...
  10. Interesting... mlb expected to add in draft pick trading in next cba

    https://www.bleachernation.com/cubs/2021/05/10/whoa-mlb-expected-to-add-trading-of-draft-picks-in-the-next-cba/
  11. Quick tidbit to making advanced metrics easier to comprehend

    So, I get why some people don't like saber stuff. In some areas it's needlessly obtuse. One of those areas I actually ran into myself. To cut to the chase, I wanted to know how much a run saved defensively actually mattered. So, for instance how you would compare a player who was a 100 wRC+...
  12. Team defense: Why Heyward is better than you think he is.

    So the title is kinda click bait-y but I think this is an important discussion. Defense in baseball is very undersold. People want to harp on the cubs inability to develop pitching and all that yada yada.... What if I told you that since 2016 the cubs are 3rd in ERA- which is essentially a way...
  13. Does it surprise anyone else to know wrigley is a top 10 pitcher park?

    Depending on which particular metric you use it can dip as low as like 13th but over the past 3 years it rates as the #10 park and it's top 10 in fewest HRs as well. If you just look at 2020 it was actually the #1 pitcher park. I guess on some level it's not that surprising given when the wind...
  14. I think I may understand the concept the FO is going for with pitching

    I'll cut to the chase here.... I think the front office has decided it's cost efficient to target players with good HR/9. Davies who was kind of over looked in the Darvish trade a bit has a career 1.04 HR/9. For reference here, the past 2.5 full seasons have gone 1.16 in 2018, 1.40 in 2019 and...
  15. Cubs to sign Arrieta

    https://www.bleachernation.com/cubs/2021/02/12/cubs-and-jake-arrieta-reportedly-close-to-a-deal/ Ultimately i'm not sure how i feel about the deal. Like it's one year so whatever i guess but at 34 with his k rate declining Im not sure you're getting much out of him.
  16. The forth coming CBA

    I don't want to come off here as though I'm shining up a turd of situation. So, keep that in mind when reading this. But one of the interesting thoughts I had is that after 2021, the CBA is done. There's been a lot of talk that this CBA fight could be pretty nasty. I don't think either side will...
  17. Some random thoughts on cubs direction post-Darvish trade

    First thing that comes to mind is they are extending Contreras. I suppose theoretically you could let him play out his final 2 years and then look at Amaya but that doesn't strike me as likely. If the idea was to move him I don't think you trade Caratini as he has more control. So assuming...
  18. Interesting article on the financials of mlb teams this past season

    https://blogs.fangraphs.com/what-the-braves-can-tell-us-about-mlb-financial-losses-in-2020/ Having access to atlanta's financials is pretty useful since they are publicly traded. Having said this I realistically thing the cubs could be on the higher side of losses just because they have a lot...
  19. How I would approach the offseason

    I believe you need to start the offseason with a clear goal. For me that goal would be a soft retool. After 2021 the only "bad" contract the cubs have is Heyward and if Heyward has another year like 2020, his ~$22 AAV isn't even bad. To that end, I don't want to see them entirely blow up the...
  20. Since 1950, Kyle Hendricks 0.86 bb/9 is 10th best among qualified pitchers

    I was curious how low relatively speaking his absurd walk rate is this year. Top seasons since 1950 are 2005 Carlos Silva - 0.43 188.1 IP 1994 Bret Saberhagen - 0.66 177.1 IP 2014 Phil Hughes - 0.69 209.2 IP 2010 Cliff Lee - 0.76 212.1 IP 1992 Bob Tewksbury - 0.77 233.0 IP 1997 Greg Maddux -...
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