But if he turns out to be only 'good' or 'solid', giving the team not much more than Glennon and the team is still not a lock for the playoffs.... it will be looked back as a bad move. If the Texans(Watson), Browns(Kizer) and/or Bills(Peterman) are contenders being led through the playoffs by QBs each having been tied to the Bears... it will be looked back as a bad move... and why? Because any of them could have been had while keeping the teams favorable other picks in every round and them being used on higher quality players instead of players with slim to no chance of making a NFL roster.
Sorry, it doesn't work that way.
The Bears staff made a decision that Trubs was better in their books than the rest of the other QBs. That is scouting. They then decided that he was rated in their books as equal ranking as Adams and the rest of the top players, besides Garrett because he wouldn't be available. That is also scouting.
They then decided that Trubs was their pick because he not only was one of the BPAs but also at a position of dire need. They decided to go all in on Trubs and only Trubs. That was a management decision.
When the 49ers had multiple offers for their 2nd round pick (including a three team trade where the Browns went to 2 and the 49er went to 5(?), they talked to the Bears about moving up so that the 49ers would not lose their player while still trading down.
The Bears themselves had been on the phone with multiple teams wanting to move up to 3 to draft Trubs. They had information on who wanted Trubs and what they were offering. That is collecting intelligence.
The Bears then sweatened the pot for the one player they truly wanted in the draft. That is being decisive.
But ...
since everyone knows that the draft is a crapshoot (seeing that 50% of all 1st round picks bust and it has nothing to do with draft position), there is always a good chance of Trubs not being anything special in the NFL.
The Bears didn't draft Trubs because he was going to be great. They drafted him because he had a chance of being great in their books. They used the pick as their lottery ticket to have a chance at getting a franchise QB.
So if Trubs eventually is considered a bust, don't blame their giving up a few 3rd and 4th round picks. That was the cost of doing business. Blame their scouting for not scouting him correctly or their offensive coaching for not teaching him up.
Imagine the opposite scenario: the Bears stay at 3, Trubs is drafted by the Browns, the Bears get Adams. The players they got at 3, 4 and 3 (2018) are all starters though nothing special.
Adams is everything that we hoped he would be. He is the alpha leader of a top 10 defense. Yet the team is averaging a 7-9 record. All QBs we have taken make us wish for the good old days with Cutler. We are middle of the pack and never have enough bullets to go get one of the top QBs in any class.
Meanwhile, Trubs has become the Browns franchise QB. Along with Garrett, he has brought the Browns to respectability.
What would you give for Trubs now?