AntMill prop bet at Rivers

msadows

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Over/Under is set at 675.5 yards for the season for the guy. Earlier today it was at 650 when I hopped on it, so itsa risin. He had 649 last year w/ Mitch throwing him the rock and playing on a bum shoulder.

I'm not the biggest AntMill guy, but that seems fairly low to me.

Figured I'd mention it if anyone wants to hop on it while its hot. Can't see him not get 676 yards with foles at the helm unless he gets hurt again.

Things are fairly slow so I figured I'd mention it.

 

hyatt151

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Over/Under is set at 675.5 yards for the season for the guy. Earlier today it was at 650 when I hopped on it, so itsa risin. He had 649 last year w/ Mitch throwing him the rock and playing on a bum shoulder.

I'm not the biggest AntMill guy, but that seems fairly low to me.

Figured I'd mention it if anyone wants to hop on it while its hot. Can't see him not get 676 yards with foles at the helm unless he gets hurt again.

Things are fairly slow so I figured I'd mention it.


The problem with those kind of wagers is, you can't opt out if he gets injured, Vegas was built on these type of bets!! That said, I like your chances if he stays healthy.
 

Starion

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Good post. Unfort I can't bet on sports in FL yet, even online. I can somehow still use one of the offshore ones, so long as the CC is cleared to allow deposits. Getting your money back however is limited to 1 free withdrawal per month if under $400 IIRC? Some site where using 5 "coins" = 50 cents. I cleaned up huge in 2018 there on overpaying prop bets like this, CHI making playoffs, etc.

hyatt is right. I have an A Miller jersey but worry about the guy's shoulder durability. Boom or bust for him it would seem. What's the payout odds? +200 or better seems fair.
 

hyatt151

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If it's rose from 650 to 675, They have put themselves in a strong position of getting middled, so I don't expect it will rise much past 675
 

Bort

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675 seems like a reasonable over/under to me based on the injury risk. I wouldn't bet it either way.
 

TexasBearfan

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If it's rose from 650 to 675, They have put themselves in a strong position of getting middled, so I don't expect it will rise much past 675
i don't know man, with actual TE's now, Tedd Ginn, Riley Ridley, possibly Mooney, that's a LOT of mouths to feed....I know in fantasy I won't be taking anybody but Arob
 

modo

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Its hard to predict, but it wouldn't surprise me if Miller does better if there is an actual threat at TE....offenses are sustained longer which gives more opportunities....
 

knoxville7

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Bet the under. Might not even be 16 game season, and even if there is...factor in potential covid exposure that keeps him out like 3 weeks
 

nc0gnet0

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Bet the under. Might not even be 16 game season, and even if there is...factor in potential covid exposure that keeps him out like 3 weeks
Not being a sports bettor at all (except for a friendly wager among friends), how do these Prop bets factor in for things like a shortened season?
 

Sculpt

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Over/Under is set at 675.5 yards for the season for the guy. Earlier today it was at 650 when I hopped on it, so itsa risin. He had 649 last year w/ Mitch throwing him the rock and playing on a bum shoulder.

I'm not the biggest AntMill guy, but that seems fairly low to me. Figured I'd mention it if anyone wants to hop on it while its hot. Can't see him not get 676 yards with foles at the helm unless he gets hurt again. Things are fairly slow so I figured I'd mention it.

That's the real trick though, isn't it? "Unless he gets hurt." I think 675.5 is reasonable because he hasn't shown to be durable.

It's a shame, I think, that Nagy had Miller and Gab run the outside runaround. They are fast and/or dodgy, but they aren't built for that kind of abuse. It's risky to use your assets that way. Patterson is built for it. Even Cohen is built for it, and more importantly, has the experience to run it reasonably safely.

Anyway, I think Miller is a very good receiver, and I expect him to do Slot, which often doesn't produce as many yards as the Outside. I expect Ginn and Mooney to do Outside. Apparently Ginn is no worldbeater, so maybe Nagy tries Miller Outside -- which is a great time to give Cohen a busload more reps at Slot; and hopefully some at Outside too.

But yeah, if Miller stays healthy the whole year... than 675 is easy for Miller.
 
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knoxville7

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Not being a sports bettor at all (except for a friendly wager among friends), how do these Prop bets factor in for things like a shortened season?

I’d imagine if the season were cancelled, all bets would be cancelled and returned to the bettors. However, if the season goes on in full, then a player gets covid and misses a few games...that would still be a bet that counts. Itd be like an injury
 

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Over/Under is set at 675.5 yards for the season for the guy. Earlier today it was at 650 when I hopped on it, so itsa risin. He had 649 last year w/ Mitch throwing him the rock and playing on a bum shoulder.

I'm not the biggest AntMill guy, but that seems fairly low to me.

Figured I'd mention it if anyone wants to hop on it while its hot. Can't see him not get 676 yards with foles at the helm unless he gets hurt again.

Things are fairly slow so I figured I'd mention it.

Sounds good on the surface but he is way too much of an injury risk with that shoulder.
 

nc0gnet0

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I’d imagine if the season were cancelled, all bets would be cancelled and returned to the bettors. However, if the season goes on in full, then a player gets covid and misses a few games...that would still be a bet that counts. Itd be like an injury
But what if the season goes on, yet is shortened 2-4 games?
 

Bort

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Bet the under. Might not even be 16 game season, and even if there is...factor in potential covid exposure that keeps him out like 3 weeks

Do you bozos even gamble on sports? No casino on the planet would pay off a season stat prop bet on a shortened season. All of those bets would be off and wagers would be refunded.
 

Rob219_CBMB

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Over/Under is set at 675.5 yards for the season for the guy. Earlier today it was at 650 when I hopped on it, so itsa risin. He had 649 last year w/ Mitch throwing him the rock and playing on a bum shoulder.

I'm not the biggest AntMill guy, but that seems fairly low to me.

Figured I'd mention it if anyone wants to hop on it while its hot. Can't see him not get 676 yards with foles at the helm unless he gets hurt again.

Things are fairly slow so I figured I'd mention it.

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great bet man, i'd take that too.
 

knoxville7

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Do you bozos even gamble on sports? No casino on the planet would pay off a season stat prop bet on a shortened season. All of those bets would be off and wagers would be refunded.

do bozos like you even read posts? I said his season could be shortened due to covid, which would be factored like an injury...thus, the bet would count. If the season itself is shortened then all season prop bets would be cancelled...as I mentioned already. Congrats on not reading
 

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