I'm going to try to be very objective here by looking at areas of importance and how I'd rank each opportunity:
- Existing Roster - Bears, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Giants then Texans (assuming Watson is traded)
- Salary Cap situation - Dolphins, Jaguars, Bears, Texans, Panthers, then Giants
- Draft Capital - Giants, Jaguars, Texans (assuming Watson trade), Dolphins, Panthers, then Bears
- GM (Disclaimer - using current GMs and if fired that would make them a complete unknown that can work for or against attracting a head coach.) - Panthers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Giants, Bears, then Texans
- Ownership - Dolphins, Panthers, Giants, Bears, Jaguars then Texans
- Weather - Panthers, Texans, Dolphins, Jaguars, Giants, then Bear
- Market - Giants, Dolphins, Bears, Texans, Jaguars then Panthers
The truth is each head coaching candidate will look at those 7 areas differently, but it's also hard to guess which one is more important. If I was to do a rotisserie type scoring system (top spot gets 6 points, every one after that gets one less point. After that just add up the total points accumulated) it would look like:
- Dolphins 32 pts
- Jaguars 27 pts
- Panthers 25 pts
- Giants 24 pts
- Bears 21 pts
- Texans 18 pts
So, after going through that exercise I think the best head coaching candidate will go to whomever pays him the most money, period. None of this matters and about the Benjamins...
I would add if you look back at historic coaching hires the 'hot name' rarely turns out to be the best coach. Look at our current coaches who have had long tern success. Was Belichick, Reid, Harbaugh, Tomlin, McVay, etc... considered the hands down best hire in their respective 'free agent' years? Hell no.
Personally I think how good a team is comes more from their ownership then we like to believe. It's a 'top down' way of looking this, but ultimately that's the group most responsible for culture. I know that's not what you guys want to hear, but often it's the truth.