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I would look at their second half, who they were when they finished.Everyone keeps talking about how the Panthers had a top 10 defense last year but I can't find any stats to back that up. In every major defensive team stat from points given up, yards given up, time of possession they are at or below the league average. If you're into DVOA rankings, the Panthers defense finished 25th. I'm not saying they have a bad defense but I don't see anything to back up the claim they were a top 10 defense. Throw in the fact their 6 division games were against below average offenses.
It's the same for our defense only opposite extremes.