Chicago -3.5 over SF

[Unannounced Fart]

Opening line is Bears -3.5. Line seems a little low to me, perhaps oddsmakers are thinking of a let down game after a big win.
O/u is 42.5.

http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/

 

[Monster]

They looked solid today beating Seattle.

 

[Rise]

SF is 4-3 at home, Bears are 3-3 on the road. Traveling to west coast, time shift is a small factor as well. Bears don’t like heat either.

3.5 is about right, consider the home team gets 3. Always remember as well this is about getting people to bet more than anything else.

 

[CaptnSUG]

Bears against shitty teams on the road is always an adventure. Green Bay, Miami, Detroit, Giants...Vegas seems to think that trend will continue and are baiting out tons of money on the Bears with this spread, which even I think is a little generous to 49ers. The Bears did maul the Bills (but that was without Josh Allen).

 

[ursamajor]

SF is 4-3 at home, Bears are 3-3 on the road. Traveling to west coast, time shift is a small factor as well. Bears don’t like heat either.

3.5 is about right, consider the home team gets 3. Always remember as well this is about getting people to bet more than anything else.

“The coldest winter I ever spent, was a summer in San Francisco”

Seriously though, it’s supposed to be below 60.


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[Bear Nation]

I’ll be at next week’s game. It’s predicted to be a high of 60 degrees with the possibility of some late afternoon/evening rain. I bought the tickets 3 days before Garrapolo got hurt thinking it would be a prequel to seeing two teams who would be playing in January...guess I was half right.

 

[swz01]

Take that all day long. Should be more like -7. Bears playing motivated to get a bye, 49ers have nothing to play for.

 

[swz01]

Bears against shitty teams on the road is always an adventure. Green Bay, Miami, Detroit, Giants...Vegas seems to think that trend will continue and are baiting out tons of money on the Bears with this spread, which even I think is a little generous to 49ers. The Bears did maul the Bills (but that was without Josh Allen).

The Miami game was understandable. Look how bad the D got gassed in the 4th in all the other games. In the heat and humidity the effect is 2-3x normal. Detroit and Giants was a backup QB. Green Bay was week 1. The starters had literally zero in game reps in the new offense at that point in the season with how Nagy handled the preseason.

 

[CaptnSUG]

The Miami game was understandable. Look how bad the D got gassed in the 4th in all the other games. In the heat and humidity the effect is 2-3x normal. Detroit and Giants was a backup QB. Green Bay was week 1. The starters had literally zero in game reps in the new offense at that point in the season with how Nagy handled the preseason.

Im just telling you Vegas' thought process here. They see a game the Bears narrowly win by 3 points because they dont like the Bears on the road and probably factor in a regression now that the Bears are no longer playing for a spot in the playoffs, but a higher seed. Could they play it safer and put the Bears at -6.5? Yeah, but thousands of Bears fans are lining up to pound a -3.5 because they think its "easy money".

 

[napo55]

Their UDFA QB Mullens is really looking good. Plus, they are well coached and playing hard.

 

[Toast88]

A few things at play here:

3 points is by far the most common margin of victory in the NFL.

Amateurs and fans BY FAR bet the favorite, so they're trying to get that group to put heavy action on the Bears, especially with the hook.

Favorites only perform up to expectation 50 percent of the time.

This all could set up a really good payday for Vegas.


Teams and games are typically much closer than amateurs realize, especially in the NFL. 3.5 seems about right for what they're trying to provoke. There's a reason they say, "Bet numbers, not teams."

 

[WestCoastBearsFan]

Read the thread. Understand the thread. Still feel like the Bears got disrespected.


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[Novak]

A few things at play here:

3 points is by far the most common margin of victory in the NFL.

Amateurs and fans BY FAR bet the favorite, so they're trying to get that group to put heavy action on the Bears, especially with the hook.

Favorites only perform up to expectation 50 percent of the time.

This all could set up a really good payday for Vegas.


Teams and games are typically much closer than amateurs realize, especially in the NFL. 3.5 seems about right for what they're trying to provoke. There's a reason they say, "Bet numbers, not teams."

All that said, this is still a great line to bet. It'll be around -6 by kickoff.

 

[Hawkeye OG]

“The coldest winter I ever spent, was a summer in San Francisco”

Seriously though, it’s supposed to be below 60.


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Baer Weather!

 

[Warrior Spirit]

Sure win for the Bears. Lock it up!

 

[JD Trendleton]

Opening line is Bears -3.5. Line seems a little low to me, perhaps oddsmakers are thinking of a let down game after a big win.
O/u is 42.5.

http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/

Hop on before it gets to -13.

 

[IBleedBearsBlood]

9ers have looked good the past 5 weeks. Just because they have a bad record doesn’t mean they suck.


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[CaptnSUG]

A few things at play here:

3 points is by far the most common margin of victory in the NFL.

Amateurs and fans BY FAR bet the favorite, so they're trying to get that group to put heavy action on the Bears, especially with the hook.

Favorites only perform up to expectation 50 percent of the time.

This all could set up a really good payday for Vegas.


Teams and games are typically much closer than amateurs realize, especially in the NFL. 3.5 seems about right for what they're trying to provoke. There's a reason they say, "Bet numbers, not teams."

Vegas is thinking this game will be 24-14 or 20-10 until like :45 left on the clock then SF will get a garbage time TD that makes the score way closer than the game was.