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There is really no way for us to determine if a player is overpaid or not as we don't know if anyone else was interested and what was offered. I much prefer to look at actual results a year or two later. (plenty of legit criticism for Pace doing it that way) Saying a guy is overpaid now though is simply impossible to do.
Not really. Even if someone else bid the exact same amount for Graham he is overpaid relative to his age and production.
Now of course if it turns out he plays better than the past few years would suggest in his age 34 and 35 seasons then I will revise my opinion but as it stands now I see no way to conclude he was worth 16 million.
Of course you can chose to wait before making a decision. I prefer to just call it like I see it now and revise my opinion if new data proves me wrong.
Really think injury history is the key here. Graham has played 16 games for 4 seasons in a row. Ebron had issues all last year. No way can Pace survive if he signs another injured TE.
That is possible but still dont think that is worth 16 million at his age and production.