I think the odds of Pace not being in the GM position after this season is really high, maybe 90%+. The odds of him not still being somewhere in the Bears organization are significantly lower, maybe 40%. I don't know how he has managed such a good sales pitch to the front office, but they seem to really be on the Pace fan bandwagon for keeping around to do something even if its not GM. Honestly, if it weren't for some of his mid round draft picks, he would really not be a great candidate for any other roles in the NFL if the Bears let him go.
I forget who it was, but I remember one of the beat guys saying that while his source wouldn't confirm or deny who is staying or going, told him to "buckle up - its going to be a wild ride" right before all the shit hit the fan a week or so ago prior to the lions.
That in part is why I think the McCaskeys are going to do something unprecedented for them. Its also why I think they will turn over the keys to the kingdom to Josh McDaniels.
He's not the guy I want - but supposedly the McCaskeys really liked him during his coaching interview in 2017, and the sticking point is how much power the Head Coach gets in terms of final say. This was also the same reason McDaniels backed out of the Colts deal at the last minute - he was promised that level of power, but once his lawyers read through the contract, Josh found out Ballard renegged on a bunch of stuff and didn't tell him - at that point the trust was shattered and McDaniels said "fuck it, I'm out" (that story per Hub Arkush).
Not to mention the McCaskeys want to max out the purchasing price for the Bears, and I think in their world, McDaniels checks all those boxes.
Keep in mind - I said in THEIR world, not mine. The McCaskeys have their own little world they operate in, and this would be something I could see them doing.